CBS/Yougov has a new poll out from South Carolina. The results are:
The last CBS/Yougov poll of South Carolina had Clinton up 60-38, so this represents a slight improvement for Sanders.
It has Sanders up 63-36 among whites and Clinton up 73-26 among African Americans:
|
Whites |
African Americans |
Sanders |
63% (+3%) |
26% (+4%) |
Clinton |
36% (-2%) |
73% (+3%) |
Sanders' gains are a bit bigger when you break it down by race because CBS/Yougov has a larger African American sample in this poll than the last one. In the last poll, they had African Americans as 57% of the sample. In this one, they have African Americans all the way at 62% of the sample. In 2008, African Americans made up about 55% of South Carolina Democratic primary voters, according to exit polls.
The Poll finds that many African Americans in South Carolina still don't know very much about Bernie Sanders, so with further campaigning there is potential for Sanders to make further gains among African Americans. While 70% of whites "feel you know Bernie Sanders and what he stands for," only 28% of African Americans say that they "feel you know Bernie Sanders and what he stands for.”
Yougov was quite accurate in New Hampshire and Iowa. In New Hampshire, the last Yougov poll had Sanders ahead 58-35, and in Iowa, they had Sanders ahead 47-46.
Full crosstabs are here.
This is quite consistent with my model's predictions, and about 60-40 for Clinton is consistent with the race being competitive nationally.